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Playing & Trading Strategy

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Aug 18, 08:47 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 997 203.05 (-0.37)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 20000 16.33 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 786 79.93 (-4.72)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 935 79.93 (-4.72)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 15.73 (+0.65)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 15.73 (+0.65)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 149999 15.73 (+0.65)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 149997 15.73 (+0.65)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 2600 212.00 (+1.18)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 140328 183.27 (+1.18)          Superman (SUPRM) 4500 235.38 (-0.15)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 20000 16.33 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 310.17 (-2.02)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 150000 19.63 (+0.04)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 4000 87.97 (+0.11)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 643 25.00 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 310.17 (-2.02)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 1 183.27 (+1.18)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 79.93 (-4.72)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 150000 21.42 (-0.05)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 79.93 (-4.72)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 6.56 (+0.02)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 150000 19.63 (+0.04)          You Should Be Dancing aka Untitl (BEEGE) 150000 20.43 (+0.06)          Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie (GABYD) 20000 16.98 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 1000 25.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 10000 203.05 (-0.37)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 6000 25.00 (0.00)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 67.73 (+0.55)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 3 203.05 (-0.37)          Jon Bernthal (JBERN) 25000 9.05 (+0.05)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 14.82 (+0.08)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 10000 3.06 (-0.56)          The Long Walk (TLWLK) 150000 24.79 (+0.08)          The Life of Chuck (LCHUC) 150000 20.09 (+0.06)          Sing 3 (SING3) 3900 88.85 (-0.16)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.30 (+0.03)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 2500 212.00 (+1.18)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 26.28 (+0.20)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 79.93 (-4.72)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 3500 69.28 (+0.03)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.06 (-0.56)          Lear Rex (LEREX) 150000 9.63 (0.00)          The Adventures of Priscilla: Que (APQD2) 150000 8.30 (-0.08)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.43 (+0.01)