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Playing & Trading Strategy

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean

Posted by: MattW on May 27, 14:50 in response to MattW's post April coming in right at 550, 67%

Over 130m from holdovers, over 625 from May releases.Ā 

June holdovers 200-250m, new releases 575-675, around 70-75% of the average

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.13 (-0.05)          Assassination (ASSNT) 40988 15.24 (+1.67)          The World According to Allee Wil (WATAW) 150000 0.37 (-0.02)          Elton John: Never Too Late (EJNTL) 150000 0.72 (0.00)          All We Imagine As Light (AWIAL) 150000 0.78 (-0.03)          Grendel (GREND) 150000 23.29 (-0.04)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 75000 8.49 (+0.05)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 95874 62.84 (0.00)          Queer (QUEER) 150000 3.45 (-0.31)          Red One (REDON) 969 86.02 (-0.63)          Assassination (ASSNT) 105036 15.24 (+1.67)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 11.98 (-0.94)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.13 (-0.05)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          My Dead Friend Zoe (MDFZO) 150000 7.77 (-0.08)          My Dead Friend Zoe (MDFZO) 150000 7.77 (-0.08)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 25000 26.12 (+1.12)          Ernest Cole: Lost and Found (ECLAF) 150000 0.47 (0.00)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 10000 80.97 (-3.68)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 18.72 (-0.10)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 18.72 (-0.10)          Deliver Me from Nowhere (DMFNW) 150000 23.53 (-0.12)          Deliver Me from Nowhere (DMFNW) 150000 23.53 (-0.12)          Song Sung Blues (SSBLU) 25000 21.22 (+0.01)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 11.98 (-0.94)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 25000 26.12 (+1.12)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 25000 26.12 (+1.12)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Famous (FAMOS) 50000 20.24 (+0.03)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 10000 170.20 (+0.48)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 3.05 (-0.57)          Assassination (ASSNT) 22482 15.24 (+1.67)          Red One (REDON) 150000 86.02 (-0.63)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.97 (-3.68)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 10000 0.01 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Wicked (WICKD) 19999 310.18 (-2.01)          Wicked (WICKD) 30222 310.18 (-2.01)          The Saint (TSAIN) 30000 16.99 (+0.05)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 150000 46.71 (+0.78)          King Spawn (SPWN2) 5 3.54 (0.00)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 14.74 (-0.12)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 14.74 (-0.12)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 14.74 (-0.12)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 29999 80.97 (-3.68)          Wildwood (WILDW) 2 6.53 (-0.01)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 14.74 (-0.12)