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I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average.
August to me looks like 200-225 from holdovers, and 200-250 from new releases based on current hsx prices, but with a weak month and such a strong july holdovers might do better than expected, maybe up to $500m for the month as a whole which would be under 60%.
General thoughts on 2022 Jan 13, 20:09
Update Mar 27, 17:28
April coming in right at 550, 67% Apr 27, 18:16
May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean May 27, 14:50
A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg Jun 02, 11:11
June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. Jun 28, 23:10
I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. Jul 28, 14:01
August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} Aug 30, 18:51
192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} Sep 06, 20:14
August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} Aug 18, 08:47
Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} Sep 07, 14:59
~330 {nm} Sep 24, 17:22
319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} Oct 05, 14:50
Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. Oct 24, 22:54
Nov still think about 700 {nm} Nov 11, 22:33
Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} Nov 26, 15:33
December here we come {nm} Nov 26, 15:34
$850m Dec 01, 10:19
Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} Dec 30, 19:07
The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} Dec 30, 19:11
2024 predictions month by month Mar 25, 16:26
Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} Mar 30, 09:59
April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 Apr 21, 15:17
May 575? May 23, 17:55
May ended up 550. June 700. Jun 05, 16:46
June 780 Jun 11, 14:20
Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} Jun 14, 20:15
950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} Jun 22, 08:54
