HSX Forum

Movies

BELCO - $306K {nm}

Posted by: FabioParme on Mar 17, 08:40 in response to RogerMore's post DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Modi (MODGL) 30000 0.89 (0.00)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 41.78 (-0.08)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 9.12 (+0.62)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 30000 4.43 (+0.01)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 9.12 (+0.62)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 9.12 (+0.62)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 0.64 (+0.04)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.16 (+1.22)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.16 (+1.22)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.49 (+3.67)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.49 (+3.67)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 30000 4.43 (+0.01)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 30000 12.05 (-0.12)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 15.72 (-0.19)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 15.72 (-0.19)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.49 (+3.67)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 30000 12.05 (-0.12)          Challengers (CHALN) 110799 37.71 (-1.56)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.49 (+3.67)          Jane (JANE1) 30000 21.85 (-0.05)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 8142 41.78 (-0.08)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.31 (-0.15)          Madden (MADEN) 149999 35.69 (-0.92)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.31 (-0.15)          Madden (MADEN) 149999 35.69 (-0.92)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.36 (+1.36)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 21.85 (-0.05)          Goat (GOAT1) 150000 16.28 (-0.10)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.36 (+1.36)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 37.71 (-1.56)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.49 (+3.67)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 37.71 (-1.56)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.13 (+0.10)          Babes (BABS) 25000 3.32 (0.00)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.82 (-0.24)          Humane (HUMNE) 150000 0.69 (+0.01)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 37.71 (-1.56)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 2.53 (+0.01)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.31 (-0.15)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 26.23 (+0.07)          Goat (GOAT1) 150000 16.28 (-0.10)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.36 (+1.36)          Untitled M. Night Shyamalan aka (GDGRD) 20000 24.76 (0.00)          Challengers (CHALN) 11422 37.71 (-1.56)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 30000 12.96 (-0.02)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 370 26.75 (-0.03)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.13 (+0.10)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.69 (-0.92)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.69 (-0.92)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.36 (+1.36)