HSX Forum

Movies

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million.

Posted by: notfabio on Mar 17, 08:52 in response to FabioParme's post BELCO - $306K

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4275&p=.htm

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Sesame Street (SESAM) 1 3.41 (-0.02)          Kent State (KENTS) 60000 5.33 (+0.01)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.45 (+1.51)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 75000 7.97 (+0.01)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.45 (+1.51)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 15000 24.31 (+0.04)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 60000 24.31 (+0.04)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 150000 57.81 (0.00)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 4.16 (+0.10)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 4.16 (+0.10)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 30000 3.41 (-0.02)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1 65.15 (+1.11)          Send Help (SENDH) 30000 28.24 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1 65.15 (+1.11)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 20000 65.15 (+1.11)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 15000 13.44 (+1.17)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 49999 13.44 (+1.17)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 75000 17.45 (+1.51)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 14999 17.45 (+1.51)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 5 186.24 (+4.10)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 90000 11.57 (+1.57)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 12500 186.24 (+4.10)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 29999 11.57 (+1.57)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 25000 120.50 (+3.68)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 25000 120.50 (+3.68)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 20000 33.13 (-0.01)          Send Help (SENDH) 30000 28.24 (0.00)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 11.67 (+0.02)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 290.27 (+3.83)          The Island (ISLAN) 50000 3.40 (-0.02)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 11.67 (+0.02)          The Fixer (FIXER) 100000 2.23 (-0.02)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 78109 120.50 (+3.68)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 13.10 (-0.03)          Creepers (CREPR) 50000 6.13 (-0.02)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 10000 33.13 (-0.01)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 149999 21.82 (-0.24)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 10000 33.13 (-0.01)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 10000 33.13 (-0.01)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 120000 11.57 (+1.57)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 7999 10.02 (-1.19)          The Watchers (WATCS) 150000 37.22 (+0.13)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.02 (-1.19)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 800 254.71 (-1.25)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 848 74.71 (0.00)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.57 (+1.57)          The Fabulous Four (TFAB4) 5000 3.10 (+0.01)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 290.27 (+3.83)          Riley Keough (RKEOU) 14945 3.21 (+0.02)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 290.27 (+3.83)