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12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm}

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Mar 17, 09:10 in response to gogreenytd's post 200+OW in play?

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 17.63 (-0.20)          The Monkey (MONKY) 9 19.99 (-0.06)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 50000 64.54 (+0.50)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 38.58 (-0.69)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 38.58 (-0.69)          The Woman in the Yard (TWITY) 150000 22.04 (-0.31)          The Invite (TINVT) 9 16.42 (-0.04)          The Woman in the Yard (TWITY) 150000 22.04 (-0.31)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 100000 64.54 (+0.50)          Smurfs (SMRF4) 90 28.88 (-0.06)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.90 (-0.71)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.99 (-0.06)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.90 (-0.71)          Elevation (ELVTN) 9 12.00 (-0.04)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.85 (+0.85)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.85 (+0.85)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.96 (0.00)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 81.87 (-0.60)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 81.87 (-0.60)          Death Of A Unicorne (DUNIC) 9 19.83 (-0.04)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.76 (+0.05)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 50000 54.79 (+0.01)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.45 (+1.06)          Hercules (HRCUL) 9 28.98 (-0.06)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 38.58 (-0.69)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 38.58 (-0.69)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 9 11.45 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.90 (-0.71)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.90 (-0.71)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 9 21.96 (-0.05)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.85 (+0.85)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 9 32.69 (-0.06)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 747 15.91 (0.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Bambi (BAMBI) 9 35.79 (-0.06)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.90 (-0.71)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 99 25.98 (-0.06)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 35.90 (-0.71)          Challengers (CHALN) 63168 38.58 (-0.69)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 38.58 (-0.69)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 9 9.09 (-0.07)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 75000 19.13 (-0.01)          Naruto (NARUT) 9 41.57 (-0.05)