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Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Mar 17, 09:08 in response to Captain Hindsight's post Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be...

which seems pretty reasonable.

There should be more than enough kids business over the weekend to keep it from the super frontloaded Twilight/Hunger Games/50 Shades type territory.

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150 117.63 (+0.81)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.80 (+0.80)          Rumours (RUMRS) 150000 6.73 (+0.05)          Jump Street: Now For Her Pleasur (21JS3) 150000 2.82 (+0.13)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 40000 117.63 (+0.81)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.80 (+0.80)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 10000 117.63 (+0.81)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 150000 6.15 (+0.04)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 33999 4.39 (-0.07)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 10000 4.39 (-0.07)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 46000 4.39 (-0.07)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 150000 9.09 (-0.07)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 150000 9.09 (-0.07)          Blitz (BLTZ) 150000 2.46 (-0.04)          The Home (THOME) 150000 8.46 (+0.05)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 14337 82.36 (-0.11)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 36.50 (-0.11)          The Home (THOME) 50000 8.46 (+0.05)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 18.42 (-0.14)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 18.42 (-0.14)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.80 (+0.80)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.80 (+0.80)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.39 (+1.00)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.39 (+1.00)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.08 (+1.09)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.08 (+1.09)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.08 (+1.09)          Blitz (BLTZ) 150000 2.46 (-0.04)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.80 (+0.80)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.80 (+0.80)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 117.63 (+0.81)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 49999 6.15 (+0.04)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 19 20.98 (0.00)          Babes (BABS) 14 3.32 (0.00)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 15 4.18 (0.00)          Companion (CMPAN) 49999 15.15 (+0.03)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 10000 20.98 (0.00)          Babes (BABS) 25000 3.32 (0.00)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 10000 4.18 (0.00)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 74999 57.69 (-0.12)          Tarot (HRSCP) 24 26.58 (-0.01)          Tarot (HRSCP) 25000 26.58 (-0.01)          Challengers (CHALN) 25000 39.11 (-0.16)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 150000 254.71 (-1.25)          Michelle Dockery (MDOCK) 25000 37.88 (0.00)          Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 17.73 (-0.10)          Breed (BRED1) 1 0.01 (0.00)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 10000 9.05 (+0.55)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 10000 10.49 (-0.72)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 12500 7.94 (0.00)