HSX Forum

Movies

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but...

Posted by: Captain Hindsight (a.k.a diamondman56) on Mar 17, 10:10 in response to RogerMore's post They all have their different sources which tell them...

Okay, I'm lying... I'm trying to break the board.

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Between the Temples (BTMPL) 1 1.30 (0.00)          Mike Tyson biopic (MTYSN) 1 0.04 (0.00)          Companion (CMPAN) 50000 15.14 (+0.02)          Challengers (CHALN) 81097 38.52 (-0.75)          Challengers (CHALN) 50000 38.52 (-0.75)          Drift (DRFT) 15929 0.49 (0.00)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 30 265.31 (-0.25)          The Home (THOME) 100000 8.51 (+0.10)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 75000 16.15 (+0.21)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 50000 6.14 (+0.03)          The Home (THOME) 50000 8.51 (+0.10)          The Home (THOME) 150000 8.51 (+0.10)          Blitz (BLTZ) 150000 2.44 (-0.06)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 16.15 (+0.21)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 16.15 (+0.21)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 2.50 (-0.02)          Wildcat (WLDCT) 149999 1.18 (-0.04)          Madden (MADEN) 25000 35.89 (-0.72)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 26.48 (-0.11)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 64.69 (+0.65)          Treasure (TRESU) 150000 3.35 (-0.03)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.05 (+1.23)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1 64.69 (+0.65)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 1 5.61 (-0.05)          Madden (MADEN) 1 35.89 (-0.72)          Superman (SUPRM) 77 191.15 (0.00)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 1 10.85 (+0.85)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 444 66.86 (+0.05)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 500 78.53 (+0.16)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 1 78.53 (+0.16)          Breathe (BRETE) 500 2.50 (-0.02)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 9 22.75 (-0.02)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 499 22.75 (-0.02)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 1000 11.45 (-0.04)          Blackhawk (BLHWK) 499 11.83 (0.00)          The Long Game (TLNGM) 150000 3.87 (+0.03)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 499 16.96 (+0.07)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 1 57.69 (-0.12)          Kill (KILL) 99 8.40 (0.00)          Challengers (CHALN) 50000 38.52 (-0.75)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 100 8.07 (+0.11)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 100 137.13 (0.00)          Wildcat (WLDCT) 149999 1.18 (-0.04)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1 137.13 (0.00)          Wildcat (WLDCT) 150000 1.18 (-0.04)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 100 136.31 (0.00)          Wildcat (WLDCT) 150000 1.18 (-0.04)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 1 136.31 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 100 131.83 (0.00)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 16.15 (+0.21)