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Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm}

Posted by: notfabio on Mar 17, 08:47 in response to notfabio's post Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and...

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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Presence (PRSNC) 150000 16.36 (0.00)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 4000 17.69 (0.00)          Shackleton (SHCKL) 5000 7.71 (-0.03)          Sunflower (SFLWR) 1000 14.32 (-0.02)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 3200 5.55 (-0.11)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 2000 34.07 (0.00)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 6 57.67 (-0.14)          Playdate (PLYDT) 1000 15.98 (-0.02)          Playdate (PLYDT) 2000 15.98 (-0.02)          Outcome (OUTCM) 1000 20.65 (-0.04)          Parallel (PRLEL) 9000 0.05 (0.00)          Oceans aka Ocean's Prequel (OCEN5) 2000 51.16 (-0.10)          Oceans aka Ocean's Prequel (OCEN5) 2000 51.16 (-0.10)          Oceans aka Ocean's Prequel (OCEN5) 5000 51.16 (-0.10)          Presence (PRSNC) 150000 16.36 (0.00)          Nutcrackers (NTCRS) 3000 20.18 (+0.02)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 150000 2.76 (-0.02)          Night of the Living Dead (NOTLD) 7000 9.66 (-0.02)          Americana aka National Anthem (NATHM) 6000 5.62 (0.00)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 11000 42.93 (-0.86)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 150000 2.76 (-0.02)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 25000 48.87 (-0.33)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 3000 42.93 (-0.86)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 1000 416.44 (-0.46)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 150000 2.76 (-0.02)          Hell of a Summer (HOSUM) 150000 4.07 (-0.01)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 1200 416.44 (-0.46)          Stepdude aka Oh Hell No (OHELN) 30000 7.08 (0.00)          Reagan (REAGN) 3000 3.96 (+0.02)          Blade (BLAD1) 1000 114.33 (-0.11)          Blade (BLAD1) 1000 114.33 (-0.11)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 25000 48.87 (-0.33)          Heads of State (HDSST) 150000 18.94 (-0.06)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 150000 6.24 (-0.03)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 150000 21.48 (-0.08)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 10000 10.07 (-1.14)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 10000 10.07 (-1.14)          Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 150000 2.89 (-0.04)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.07 (-1.14)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 150000 2.96 (-0.02)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.07 (-1.14)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 37.71 (-1.56)          Elevation (ELVTN) 150000 11.92 (-0.12)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 6000 31.63 (0.00)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 37.71 (-1.56)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 4000 31.63 (0.00)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 21.91 (-0.10)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 5000 32.68 (-0.07)          Days Gone (DAYSG) 150000 16.67 (-0.08)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 2000 32.68 (-0.07)