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They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing.

Posted by: RogerMore on Mar 17, 09:27 in response to Captain Hindsight's post I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting...

I strongly doubt that DL or any of the other trades do their own independent analysis.

DL: $16.3M for BTATB previews RogerMore Mar 17, 08:33

BELCO - $306K {nm} FabioParme Mar 17, 08:40

BOM uses other BH Tilt for comps Green Inferno 275K, 3.5 million. The Darkness 206, 4.95 million. notfabio Mar 17, 08:52

The female/male skew was far closer than Cinderella/Twilight/Fifty Shades with "around 60% female" {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:44

Cinderella started at 77% for "Friday" and evened out to 66% female for the weekend. {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:45

Hunger Games appears to be the closest comparison, that crowd was 61% female. Hunger Games was 19.7 (I think maybe just midnights?) {nm} notfabio Mar 17, 08:47

“It’s playing like Star Wars among female audiences.” {nm} slipping jimmy Mar 17, 08:59

So are we going to watch DL low ball us and build the estimate all weekend. Tale as old as time. {nm} 🐨 Mar 17, 08:49

It's not DL doing the low-balling, it's the studio people they get their info from. {nm} RogerMore Mar 17, 08:57

I don't think that's true. If the trades were getting numbers from the studio, why are all the Friday afternoon #s different? Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 09:00

The PM #s from DL, V and THR are really not that different. There are multiple studios, so they may merge their estimates. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:05

DL even tells us if a number came from a rival, which means it came from the releasing studio when DL doesn't tell us. {nm} Antibody Mar 17, 09:07

They all have their different sources which tell them basically the same thing, though not exactly the same thing. RogerMore Mar 17, 09:27

I'm not trying to break the board by putting a really long response without really saying anything of importance but... Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 10:10

200+OW in play? {nm} gogreenytd Mar 17, 08:56

12.27x to get there. Not the most likely outcome, certainly, but not impossible either. {nm} shadowking Mar 17, 09:10

NEMO2 delisted with a 3.13 multiplier. If BTATB has anywhere near the same legs with these OW predictions, it still has tremendous value tomcat90 Mar 17, 09:30

Seems too close to call right now... 12X mult would be 195... but sub-10X and it's right on target. Captain Hindsight Mar 17, 08:57

Yeah, there are valid arguements to be made for 10x as well as 12x. Split the middle and it's a $180M weekend shadowking Mar 17, 09:08





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Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 61.23 (-0.30)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 40000 120.50 (+3.68)          Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 25000 52.30 (+2.44)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 2.57 (+0.05)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 40000 11.45 (+1.45)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.45 (+1.45)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 2.57 (+0.05)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 149999 17.17 (+1.23)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 149728 13.32 (+1.05)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 10000 11.45 (+1.45)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 2000 11.45 (+1.45)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.17 (+1.23)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1200 65.14 (+1.10)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.17 (+1.23)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 272 13.32 (+1.05)          Last Train to New York (LTTNY) 30000 6.77 (+0.01)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 2000 65.14 (+1.10)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 9200 65.14 (+1.10)          Modi (MODGL) 30000 0.89 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 123930 290.25 (+3.81)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 149999 17.17 (+1.23)          Modi (MODGL) 30000 0.89 (0.00)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 41.78 (-0.08)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 9.12 (+0.62)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 30000 4.43 (+0.01)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 9.12 (+0.62)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 9.12 (+0.62)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 0.64 (+0.04)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.17 (+1.23)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 17.17 (+1.23)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.50 (+3.68)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.50 (+3.68)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 30000 4.43 (+0.01)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 30000 12.05 (-0.12)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 15.72 (-0.19)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 15.72 (-0.19)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.50 (+3.68)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 30000 12.05 (-0.12)          Challengers (CHALN) 110799 37.71 (-1.56)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 120.50 (+3.68)          Jane (JANE1) 30000 21.85 (-0.05)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 8142 41.78 (-0.08)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.31 (-0.15)          Madden (MADEN) 149999 35.69 (-0.92)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.31 (-0.15)          Madden (MADEN) 149999 35.69 (-0.92)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.45 (+1.45)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 21.85 (-0.05)          Goat (GOAT1) 150000 16.28 (-0.10)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.45 (+1.45)